The Fight for 1.5 Degrees: Legal Implications of the Global Stocktake for Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuel Production
Vol. 48
May 2025
Page
The inaugural Global Stocktake (GST) under the Paris Agreement, culminating at COP28 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE), served as a critical juncture for evaluating global efforts to combat climate change and particularly to reassess the commitment to transitioning away from fossil fuel production. This analysis delves into the legal ramifications of the GST findings, focusing on the juxtaposition between the urgency to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius and the entrenched reliance on fossil fuels. Despite the historic recognition of the need for a fossil fuel transition in the GST’s final text, the presence of substantial loopholes for continued fossil fuel use highlights the complexities and challenges in aligning legal frameworks with climate objectives. The UAE’s role as the COP28 host, contrasting with its fossil fuel interests, underscores the inherent tensions in hosting climate negotiations within oil-rich nations. This essay argues that while the GST represents a significant step in global climate diplomacy, the effectiveness of the effort is contingent upon translating high-level commitments into actionable, enforceable policies that precipitate genuine shifts away from fossil fuel dependency. It is imperative that there are strengthened legal mechanisms that facilitate a more rapid, equitable transition to renewable energy worldwide.
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The inaugural Global Stocktake (GST) under the Paris Agreement, culminating at COP28 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE), served as a critical juncture for evaluating global efforts to combat climate change and particularly to reassess the commitment to transitioning away from fossil fuel production. This analysis delves into the legal ramifications of the GST findings, focusing on the juxtaposition between the urgency to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius and the entrenched reliance on fossil fuels. Despite the historic recognition of the need for a fossil fuel transition in the GST’s final text, the presence of substantial loopholes for continued fossil fuel use highlights the complexities and challenges in aligning legal frameworks with climate objectives. The UAE’s role as the COP28 host, contrasting with its fossil fuel interests, underscores the inherent tensions in hosting climate negotiations within oil-rich nations. This essay argues that while the GST represents a significant step in global climate diplomacy, the effectiveness of the effort is contingent upon translating high-level commitments into actionable, enforceable policies that precipitate genuine shifts away from fossil fuel dependency. It is imperative that there are strengthened legal mechanisms that facilitate a more rapid, equitable transition to renewable energy worldwide.